Fired-Up Citizenry Won't End Up Driving Down Property Values
So-called 'rage' seems an outgrowth of what I’ve found to be an extraordinary ongoing level of engagement with Novato's present and future.
My life was lacking conflict until I cracked open a recent Novato Patch blog post by Christine Scioli offering a response to an Aug. 27 story in the Marin Independent Journal titled “City of rage: Why is Novato so angry?”
Fifteen minutes later I was as anxious as a concerned citizen emerging from a Novato City Council meeting about affordable housing; not because of Scioli’s article. Her anger — or rather, her response to anger — was measured. It was the comments that followed the story that left me bathed in sweat. I am conflict-averse. Elements of Novato are not.
Whatever the level of rancor on either side of the affordable housing debate, there will be resolution. We’ve come to the point where that resolution will leave a group of people angry. It won’t be like the NFL lockout, where players and owners throw hyperbole around as means of negotiation. There will be bad feelings. That’s what we’ve sown.
Eventually, though, they will fade. Whether Novato is “angry” will become a barely relevant point, as perhaps it should already be.
As I nervously plowed through the comments, one phrase stood out — and illuminated the sad consequences of contentious political issues. “…fear-based tactics (are) hurting our city in many ways … likely negatively impacting our housing prices,” commented Lynne Wasley, one of six co-founders of Stand Up for Neighborly Novato, a group advocating for affordable housing.
“The debate is ‘negatively impacting our housing prices?’” another commenter shot back. “Talk about a fear-based tactic.” Subsequent comments suggested that SUNN and Wasley are attempting to stifle free speech which, honestly, is predictable and has nothing at all to do with the impact of affordable housing on Novato’s future.
But does angry rhetoric really have an impact on property values? A seller must disclose the party house down the block and the aviary next door. Are there really prospective homebuyers reading the IJ and Patch and thinking “Man, there are some ticked-off people in Novato; I think I’ll look in San Rafael?”
I’m not a Realtor, though I did play one (poorly) for a year in the mid-2000s. I have to agree with the “angry” Novatans on this one. It does sound like a scare tactic to me, the sort of thing that appears legitimate on the surface but has no basis in fact upon closer scrutiny.
While I’m not sure about the commenter who accused Wasley and SUNN of “shoving (their) Dalai Lama beliefs down the throats of Novatans,” it’s a misstep to assume that Novato locals are torpedoing their own real estate market by arguing about public policy.
Wasley is correct when she suggests later that the part of the anti-affordable housing argument that supposes Novato has a gang/crime problem could potentially harm property values. You could also say that January’s gang-related shooting at the Hamilton Safeway might also have the same effect.
Does Novato have a gang problem? A recent report from the Marin County Civil Grand Jury found that Novato itself does not have a proportionately high number of resident gang members, but that Marin County as a whole is “a tempting target and market for the significant gangs residing in Santa Rosa, Napa, Vallejo, Richmond, Oakland and San Francisco. Notably, the two teenagers arrested after the late-July Novato Youth Center “gang fight” were from San Rafael. Will high-density affordable housing serve to merely shorten gang members’ commutes?
I actually don’t think Novato is that angry. The folks are riled up, to be sure, over affordable housing, but that seems an outgrowth of what I’ve found to be an extraordinary, ongoing level of engagement with their city’s present and future.
But while we’re throwing around possible property value-killers, lets be realistic: once you’ve introduced the idea of a gang or crime problem, whether or not people are civil during the debate doesn’t really matter.
Bob Ratto
6:39 pm on Monday, September 12, 2011
Larry
Nice piece. While the debate has been contentious (to put it mildly!), in my humble opinion the simple fact that a lot of people have gotten involved in the issue outweighs any newspaper ascribed "stigmatism" to Novato. Affordable housing is simply one (albeit, major) issue that is concerning to a lot of citizens; others include the new obscenely expensive City Hall, a lack of belief that existing Affordable Housing has been appropriately dealt with, a recent violation of the Brown Act-these items should (and are) involving the electorate, and I personally think that is a positive. Do some people engage in angry rhetoric? Undoubtedly. Are some "thin skinned"? again yes. The rhetoric on AH cuts both ways, as it does in any complex situation. I really think Patch has been an invaluable tool for letting people understand issues in a "real time" manner, and has been single handedly responsible for the citizens finally feel acceptable about getting involved. Thanks again!
Thomas
9:04 pm on Tuesday, September 13, 2011
You summed it up well here.
As an aside, the real angry rhetoric being made on the AH issue are those who push the discrimination angle as their platform to argue from. However that is simply not only wrong, it is factually wrong about what Novato is - being pretty much the most diverse city in ethnically and economically in Marin with already the most per capita AH in it. Yet this derogatory claim does a good enough job in creating fear, uncertainty, and doubt to unaware regular people that might want to speak out about it, but certainly are worried about being labeled for it. It's an old technique since civilization.
Worry
6:51 pm on Monday, September 12, 2011
Larry, This, hands down, is your best piece and most well written. Thank you for weighing in on this one.
Quint Evans
8:57 pm on Monday, September 12, 2011
Larry
Novato "is" angry !! Most of us have seen what happens to a city when the inmates are running the asylum .When you have one gang in your city thats too many.Novato has 4 according to the NPD.. When you have affordable low low income housing next to your home or even on the same block that "will "affect your homes value negatively. The 3 golden rules of real estate are Location, Location, Location. When you have to send your children off to school in an armored car ( SUV) instead of being able to ride their bikes to school or walk to school like you most likely did that not only affects your peoperty values but keeps you up at night worried about your childs safety.. We will most likely be force fed this unfair unreasonable mandate because politicians work both sides of the fence and nobody on the city council or the city manager chooses to stick their necks out.to far . One day years from now someone on the city council will run on the "lets clean up Novato ticket and bring it back to a family oriented small town" . Once the egg is broken its humpty dumpty time....
Marcus Griffin
9:32 pm on Monday, September 12, 2011
The affordable housing debate in Novato predictably follows the political positions of our residents. Novato has a curious blend of conservative and progressive folks with limited shared viewpoints. Throw in the general anxiety about housing values, crime and the economy and you get a toxic debate with few participants interested in a productive dialogue.
Bob
8:00 am on Tuesday, September 13, 2011
I think even beyond this, folks are seeing the social engineering that is being forced on us by the state and federal government. Mandates for specific housing in Novato make some of us think how can the government rezone my property, that I have paid on for years, and make it so the only use is affordable housing. I have lost the ability to use my property as I wish, within the codes, so that others from, who knows where, can move here to make life better for them. What about the folks that are already here and worked hard to get their little bit of the American Dream? What about the neighbors that bought their homes in the neighborhoods that they liked because of the peaceful and safe character? The picture is much bigger than just Novato. What is going on in Novato is just a small part of how we are losing control of our lives and the government is telling us what is best for us. Oh, and by the way, big brother is not only going to tell you how to design your town but you are going to pay for it, that is if you pay taxes.
Tea bags for Liberty, Maringop.org
8:32 am on Tuesday, September 13, 2011
Vote for Ghigliotti for City Council!
We do have a choice to reject social engineering by liberal academic utopian B.S. ers. eamil below to get involved in his campaign. Let' stop the madness of the socialists.
Jerome J. Ghigliotti, Jr., Esq.
Law Offices of Jerome J. Ghigliotti, Jr., APC
870 Market Street, Suite 540
San Francisco, CA 94102-3025
Direct: (415) 773-1272
Fax: (415) 773-1274
E-mail: ghigliottilaw@sbcglobal.net
T. Allen
8:34 am on Tuesday, September 13, 2011
Of course the focus on crime in Novato has driven down our home prices. Talk to any local realtor and they will tell you that questions about why the crime is so bad in Novato is an issue that prospective buyers bring up first whereas it never used to be that way (and it makes no sense given that crime is down significantly over the last decade). In fact, it is common that prospective buyers will only look in Marin in San Rafael but not in Novato. Maybe some of that is schools or commute, but it is happening more often now according to realtors I know. This is just a matter of supply and demand curves affecting price, less demand given the bad PR Novato is getting and same supply means lower prices.
T. Allen
8:38 am on Tuesday, September 13, 2011
By the way, the person arrested for the gang issue in Hamilton grocery parking lot lived in market rate home in a San Marin neighborhood, a fact that seems to get lost.
Bob
8:55 am on Tuesday, September 13, 2011
He was sponging off of his girlfriend, who's grandmother was providing housing for the granddaughter. The granddaughter had completed classes as a care provider and was trying to make a better life for her and her daughter. Now the granddaughter is in jail as an accomplice, of this scumbag, in the attempted murder. The scumbag, in addition to being charged with attempted murder, who has previously been deported, is also charged with sex with a minor on an unrelated case,
Teri Azevedo
11:32 am on Tuesday, September 13, 2011
Here we go again. Why does violence, affordable housing and gang activity all come into play when illegals are involved. Get a clue. Hire citizens to do your dirty work Novato. You let them (illegal undesirable) in your house, you house and feed them!
Christine
10:17 pm on Tuesday, September 13, 2011
Bob, you say the grandmother was providing housing for the granddaughter and her scumbag boyfriend.....well there's going to be more of that in the new Eden houseing off Diablo. And also the grandddaughter is a scumbag too. She drove the get away car. She's just as guilty. When you make bad decisions were attempted murder/murder is involved you best expect the consequences even if you are a mother of a young child. I hope her baby daughter will be raised by someone who will break the cycle.
Bob
7:03 am on Wednesday, September 14, 2011
Christine, I don't disagree with you. The gal was given an opportunity to have a good and honest life and she chose to follow the scumbag and she will have to be accountable. My point was to T. Allen in that although the scumbag lived in San Marin he was not a productive person in our society. He found a place to live by sponging off of this gal, who without Mr. Scumbag in her life, may have been a productive citizen, but that was her choice........When I think of Senior housing I think of the Novaro Complexes which have been well managed and not a burden to our city while providing housing for low income seniors. Time will tell if Eden housing can provide low income housing for seniors without being a blight on our community. To qualify to live there one only needs to be 55 years of age, which seems young to me. At that age I suppose the occupants could have gang banger children. At the City Council meeting to give Eden the ok to build, it was not clear to me what control was in place to prevent the senior from moving in a child under 55 or what consequences were in place if the child living there were convicted of a crime. One concern is that the good citizen senior will be living across the street from Wyndover and may be a target for any criminals that live or visit there.
DINAH MATTOS
4:39 pm on Tuesday, September 13, 2011
Can't wait to see what our new EDEN will look like in a few years. Senior Housing
my ass.....where were we when the plan was made. I know, I had my head in the sand...like so many of us. To late to change it...hope our new dogs are well trained..
they will have to be. Pennies 4 Police Dogs. Please give and vote in Nov
Lynne Wasley
6:41 pm on Friday, September 16, 2011
Dinah, Here is the description of the Eden Senior Housing:
Warner Creek Senior Housing, Eden Housing’s second development in Marin County, will feature 60 new affordable rental homes for lower income seniors, an on-site manager’s unit, a creek-side courtyard, several community spaces for resident activities, a computer learning center, and resident gardens. Residents living at Warner Creek will have access to a supportive resident services program designed to help them “age in place” and live independently for as long as possible. Warner Creek is located near the downtown in close proximity to transit and amenities, and will also include many sustainable features for energy and water conservation. Warner Creek will be affordable to senior households earning 20% to 50% of the Marin County Area Median Income, and will include twenty-two units targeted to seniors with long-term chronic health conditions.
Ella
8:39 pm on Tuesday, September 13, 2011
I agree with Marcus. I don't know that the "engagement" the author describes is remotely productive, and I don't think the tenor of it reflects positively on Novato. It may not drive down housing values, but it sure impacts whether people want to live in this community and participate in local government. When I read Patch, I often can't decide if I'm more dismayed by the issue at hand (crime, affordable housing, etc.) or the really distasteful comments left by some local citizens.
Thomas
8:57 pm on Tuesday, September 13, 2011
...then you should probably pull back and take a deep breath. Real issues as brought up here are real issues. Comments on an open forum are going to bring in at times interesting people making wild comments, sometimes distasteful. However you might consider thinking on this: There is a "Flag as inappropriate" link on every post. If you know clicking that is not really true - than perhaps it is just really an opinion being made you need to not react so much to be dismayed about.
Bob Ratto
9:34 pm on Tuesday, September 13, 2011
Ella
Marcus is very smart. While you may not think this discussion is productive, I would politely beg to differ. I think the discussion is very helpful and productive no matter which side you are on. I think we have more commentary on local government than we have in years (and City Council members have discussed the fact that they benefit from citizen involvement!). The discussion about housing values is an absolute abstract, and is simply rhetoric. Housing values are solely determined by the free market, nothing more, nothing less. If you are dismayed by the issues, then get involved to make a positive change for the better. Don't blame free ideas floating around on Patch, as they are only opinions of people who seem to be passionate about what is happening in the community.
Whitney
1:11 pm on Friday, September 16, 2011
I can't speak for Ms. Wasley, but possibly she was referring to the fact that the next generation of homebuyers, people currently in their 20s and 30s, may be so put off by the tone and rhetoric of many residents that they will bypass Novato in looking for a place to settle down. I can say that my husband and I fit into this category. We are renters in the Ross Valley, with few hopes of being able to purchase a home in our area. It's possible we could find something in Fairfax. It seems like there are some opportunities in Novato, but I don't want to live next to these people and their disturbing attacks on the lower middle class and low-income workers. I'd much rather move to Petaluma, which is farther from work, but the home prices are comparable and the community is more open-minded and less filled with vitrol and hate towards outsiders. I realize hate is a strong word and I thought twice about using it, but I honestly don't know what else to call it. The comments on several Patch articles are truly disturbing to me, there's no way I want these people as my neighbors.
I also know that I am not alone. What's up with Novato? is a refrain I hear frequently in meetings throughout the County. Many Marinites see this as a tea party take over of the city and there are few young people in the Bay Area who want to live in a community with those values.
Thomas
1:48 pm on Friday, September 16, 2011
The problem with what you are saying is that it is largely anecdotal, and erroneous. The fact is Novato is the most ethnically diverse city in Marin. Also I margin it is also the most economically diverse as well (over Rafael), with more spread of homeless to millionaires in this city than in any other city in Marin. Novato also per capita has the most affordable housing developments already built than any other city in Marin. You dived into the political hyperbole - and your "tea party take over" comments illustrate you as actually making your comments come from a political agenda than talking directly on the matter.
No - there is healthy adult minded debate going on. Novato's residents complaining about being Marin's dumping ground for higher density of low income housing with gifting of tax waivers and etc., and the stress it has put upon the long term infrastructure of the city, is not "hate" for low income people. In fact you can make a case that some low income people may not want more of that too for various good reasons. I advise you attempt to see it in structural terms instead of emotional rhetoric, which is largely false.
The "Marinites" looking down on Novato you speak of probably are in cities that make great calls for feel-good politics to Marin needs, but not in their backyards where there really has been no AH development. The hypocrisy on this topic in Marin is massive, but the agenda is obvious.
Demosthenes
3:49 pm on Friday, September 16, 2011
Whitney- i know how you feel. I moved my family here just before the AH "debate" fired up and, although we bought a market rate- single family house, we were very turned off by what we read on patch. We felt the town zeitgeist was unwelcoming and exclusive. We have since made some friends and heard enough rational voices that I can say the negative majority exists only on patch. good luck finding a home, if you choose Novato you will be welcomed by many!
Amy
4:45 pm on Friday, September 16, 2011
Whitney,
You reference meetings throughout the county- Is this the same Whitney connected to Greenbelt Alliance ;(The Miles Away from Home report) and Live Local Marin? Both in the pocket of Marin Community Foundation with a hugh agenda of pushing Marin's affordable housing into Novato. The same Whitney who who spoke to the Novato City Council on several occasions on the importance of high density/affordable housing? Please tell me, while you are shopping for the largest investment of your life, will you be looking at property next to potential high density sites? Or possibly, in the same neighborhood as Wyndover?
Michael Reyff
5:46 pm on Friday, September 16, 2011
Whitney:
What the rational hard working citizens of Novato object to is having a bunch of institutional bureacrats from Sacramento and wealthy special interest groups for developers tell our community what type and density of housing that we must build. That is blatantly unconstituttional and Un-American.
You use the terms hate and vitirol towards anyone who has a viewpoint different from yours. You need to take a class in remedial grammar. And BTW - Where do concoct this tea party crap? How dare you have the audacity to insult my fellow novato citizens voicing their opinions about their community. If you are so concerned about the lack of affordable high density housing, may I suggest that you lobby your Ross Valley communities to build their share of affordable housing.
From Novato With Love.
Bob Ratto
5:12 pm on Friday, September 16, 2011
Amy
Well, my goodness, this is an interesting turn of events. First, the incendiary comments by Whitney about Toni Shroyer, Tom James, Harry Lehman, and now this...wonder what's next?
Katie
5:37 pm on Friday, September 16, 2011
Bob,
The Whitney I heard speak was dismayed she couldn't afford to live in town on a gymnastics teachers salary. (At the time of her speech: a UCLA graduate working for Greenbelt Alliance, living in San Anselmo) She tried to appeal to the audience with "since I was teaching your kids.." and "we should live where we work..."
I still stand by my question: When did the shift happen? - choose where you want to live and find someone else to pay for it? I have always loved Ross but I figured out early on it would take a lot of money to live there? Where is it written that I am owed housing there and if I don't get it I have been wronged.
Marcus Griffin
5:55 pm on Friday, September 16, 2011
I agree with Whitney. The Patch seems to attract people on the fringe with extreme views that are fueled by anger that bubbles up from many places. Many seem to also post for their own narcissistic pleasure. Luckily I have met a steady stream of educated open minded people that continue to move to Novato. Every housing choice has a bunch of tradeoffs. Since most newcomers seem to come from SF they are used to having 3 deadbolts on their doors.
Bob Ratto
8:13 pm on Friday, September 16, 2011
Marcus
Thanks for your thoughts. I know a lot of highly educated people that are simply trying to get on with their lives, working hard, and are open minded to trying new ideas to solve issues in our wonderful town. Your comment about agreeing with Whitney is predictable, and is not important. Looking at presently viable ways to solve the AH issue would be more productive. We have had prior discussions about the idea of foreclosures, and you (I think) indicated some support for that idea...but did not believe that would get very far, but in my mind at least it is a good start (and infinitely better than the Ross' answer-making the Art and Garden Center a site for AH-which is a very chilling and telling zoning). We should consider carrying on this idea-you have a lot of power, I don't...if you want to get together and get some ideas put out, I am all for it.
Thomas
9:47 pm on Friday, September 16, 2011
There are very few extreme views or anger here, or narcissistic pleasure followers here that I can see. There certainly can me some on an open comments section. Unless that is just personal opinion based on some personal assumptions, you should talk then directly to it and speak of what that is for you instead of your obvious vagueness. Or do you mean to just demean debate by insult and claim a lack of open minded people on Patch, by your austere assumption?
Curious on a web search, are you the one the Novato Advance says is a CPA working for companies that invest in Affordable Housing in Novato?
Worry
6:47 pm on Friday, September 16, 2011
Good talk.
Marcus Griffin
8:24 pm on Friday, September 16, 2011
Bob I am a big supporter of the mainstream affordable housing programs and have seen them improve many lives, particularly children. If there are ways to further expand affordable housing options I am for that too. I am really looking forward to seeing the new Eden property completed. It will be the nicest apartment development in Novato and will help many seniors in our community.
All the fear mongering about less than 55 year old residents in senior housing is also a joke. I have worked on many many such communities and that arrangement is the rare exception. It does occasionally happen mainly because of red tape restrictions imposed by funding sources and fair housing laws. You can't violate these requirements even if your neighbors are fearful of young people.
Bob Ratto
9:27 pm on Friday, September 16, 2011
Yes, understand. Can we meet to discuss options tomorrow at say 10am? Scottsdale pond cleanup..I will be there then or like 10 minutes later...I have to take a girlfriend on her first motorcycle ride at 9...Lets do this...if you can...if not that is fine too, but I know you are the most erudite one that can discuss with me.....
Marcus Griffin
9:30 pm on Friday, September 16, 2011
I have tennis then my daughters soccer all morning and early afternoon. Let's meet for coffee soon.
Bob Ratto
9:48 pm on Friday, September 16, 2011
Good luck at tennis (I mean this in not Nadal/Djo however you spell it), catch up soon. Soccer hard!... we will do soon. Thanks, I do value your ideas a lot
Bob Ratto
10:05 pm on Friday, September 16, 2011
Thomas
Yes, Marcus is a CFO for AH housing. He and I have had discussions on here before, and I really believe he does understand community impact issues (not that I can speak for him!)..but he has always been forthright in what he has posted, and has never gotten down to denigrating (too much) others...that is why I want to explore other ideas with him...at least he is willing to listen...not going to go more on that!
Marcus Griffin
10:08 pm on Friday, September 16, 2011
Thomas that would be me. If you followed the dialogue for the last several months you would know I have provided lots of facts. That said I have grown weary of the same old rants by those that cling to the notion that Wyndover represents affordable housing in general. Broad observations can be insightful too.
Thomas
10:21 pm on Friday, September 16, 2011
I am actually fairly new here to Patch, so I am just now seeing some of the regular posters and dialogues going on. I am however well driven on internet discussion - and I think it is important people attempt to just address what it is that they mean directly, instead of what often occurs with the constant urge to label people or passively insult them. There seems to be quite a sensitivity on here to healthy debate, which yes can require one to detach emotionally.
I do see there are clearly stakeholders on each side of this debate present here, which is cool.
Sylvia Barry
12:36 am on Saturday, September 17, 2011
Bob - I have learned that what has been discussed on Patch can be limited.
For example, I recently learned Northbay Family Homes has a project to purchase 18 bank owned homes in Marin county (which probably means mostly Novato and San Rafael), refurbish them into green homes and sell those as affordable workforce housing. They have successfully done that on at least one home last year; which was reported on Patch.
http://novato.patch.com/articles/with-cake-fanfare-and-much-assistance-family-moves-into-former-foreclosed-home
This prompted my inquiry. I was surprised as this was news to me and pleasantly so because they just work on the project without much fanfare.
It is also interesting for me to note that people who have been actively voicing their opinions on Patch about AH development paid little attention to that news - just thought that's quite ironic.
I asked, but have not gotten answer on whether this can be counted towards our quota. However, as you must know, there is some intricate requirements from the state on what can be counted. I have been very busy but will be checking into this.
By the way, Northbay Family Homes is partly sponsored by Marin Community
Foundation. I have also noticed that Clark has quietly attended most AH housing related meetings.
Bob Ratto
7:06 am on Saturday, September 17, 2011
Sylvia
Great post! I vaguely remember reading about the family that got the refurbished home, and I thought that was such a great idea. I had no idea that they are doing 18 homes!...that is really great news. It is great to see a group that is thinking outside the box...foreclosed homes create blight in many cases, and this can serve to get a home "back in use"..and with interest rates at record lows, this is a great time for people to get in...and utlimately, this costs a heck of a lot less than $400k per unit that Eden is costing...and contributes to the tax base...Thanks again!
Thomas
10:35 am on Saturday, September 17, 2011
I think most people are behind this in some way since it makes sense, but the question still needs to be answered if they count against a community's mandated "quota" of AH. Without that really confirmed, applying this to the AH conversation is foggy and not helpful.
Another question is for those neighborhoods, if these homes are bought in some density to a given area, if this effects the comp value of their homes to people already living there. Now of course, that conversation can be moot - since the market of bank owned homes itself is a drag, but the question is if the rate for the "sale" is significantly less than what would have been if on the open market? It's a sticky question for sure due to the housing crunch, but one to ask anyway (I like all kinds of info regardless). The article you referenced is feel-good for sure, which I like too, but the critical minded side of me understands there is more to the story than one example as well.
Bob Ratto
12:34 pm on Saturday, September 17, 2011
Thomas
Good observations. I was looking from a "Macro" point. Foreclosures is not maintained, lower values of surrounding homes. If those homes are occupied/cared for, it improves the value of the surrounding homes. High levels of foreclosures will blight a neighborhood, as comp values continue to spiral downward, and buyers are hesitant to buy if they feel they may be paying over market. One of the problems we have today is we really don't know (entirely) how many homes banks are holding in their portfolios, but i would venture to say it is a lot in some areas. As to the quotas, I think the bill that Huffman got passed recently gave some more flexibility to converting foreclosures, (but I may be wrong-and I will be happy to get called on it). From an economics standpoint, at the present time it is cheaper to buy than it is to build. While a conversion of foreclosures will not create Low Income Housing Tax Credits, there are certainly mechanisms that can be employed to capture a decent return on investment.